DEN@GS+1.5
The Nuggets are playing extremely good basketball. But so are the Warriors. I like that within the past month these teams have already faced each other twice and Denver won both games. A good team like the Warriors won't get itself swept in their season series with the Nuggets. I like the revenge game factor with the Nuggs beating the Warriors by a ton in their last meeting.
GS+1.5 1 Unit
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
11/28 NBA Free Pick
HOU@OKC-9.5
33-17-1
Been waiting for this game ever since Harden was traded to the Rockets. The Rockets will win straight up and now we have them as +9.5 dogs. Expect a huge James Harden game.
HOU+9.5 1 Unit
Tuesday, November 27, 2012
11/27 NBA Free Pick
MIN@SAC-1.5
http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=296066
Anytime Covers.com puts up an article of which team is hot a bet or which team is struggling the whole gambling world is made aware of these trends and the oddsmakers make adjustments. This article influences you to fade a cold streak (Wolves) or ride a hot streak (Kings). It would be a no-brainer to pick Sacramento based on their streaks but since when has Covers ever been right. Right after they put up the Memphis is on fire article Memphis immediately loses SU to Denver. I'm fading Covers and going with the Wolves in basically a pick'em.
MIN+1.5 1 Unit
http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=296066
Anytime Covers.com puts up an article of which team is hot a bet or which team is struggling the whole gambling world is made aware of these trends and the oddsmakers make adjustments. This article influences you to fade a cold streak (Wolves) or ride a hot streak (Kings). It would be a no-brainer to pick Sacramento based on their streaks but since when has Covers ever been right. Right after they put up the Memphis is on fire article Memphis immediately loses SU to Denver. I'm fading Covers and going with the Wolves in basically a pick'em.
MIN+1.5 1 Unit
Monday, November 26, 2012
11/27 NBA Free Pick
Record 32-16-1
DEN@UTA-3.5
I like Utah with the revenge factor after losing by 20 in a game in which Big Al went 1/9 from the field. No Mo Williams for Utah and they've struggled the past two games against the lowly Kings. But a potential ATS exchange is in place. Denver has covered its last 4 games and the Jazz have failed to do so in their past two. Utah is always good at bouncing back from a big loss. Utah only wins at home and Denver only loses on the road.
UTA-3.5 1 Unit
DEN@UTA-3.5
I like Utah with the revenge factor after losing by 20 in a game in which Big Al went 1/9 from the field. No Mo Williams for Utah and they've struggled the past two games against the lowly Kings. But a potential ATS exchange is in place. Denver has covered its last 4 games and the Jazz have failed to do so in their past two. Utah is always good at bouncing back from a big loss. Utah only wins at home and Denver only loses on the road.
UTA-3.5 1 Unit
Sunday, November 25, 2012
11/25 NBA Free Pick
DET@NYK-11.5 31-16-1
In New York, concrete jungle where dreams are made, ohThere's nothing you can't do, now you're in New YorkThese streets will make you feel brand newBig lights will inspire you, let's hear it for New YorkNew York, New York
Knicks 1 Unit
In New York, concrete jungle where dreams are made, ohThere's nothing you can't do, now you're in New YorkThese streets will make you feel brand newBig lights will inspire you, let's hear it for New YorkNew York, New York
Knicks 1 Unit
Saturday, November 24, 2012
11/25 NBA Free Pick
UTA@SAC+2
My pick for this game was whoever lost the first game the first game of the home and home. Its very rare for any team to sweep a home and home back to back. The last time this happened was with the Knicks and Sixers. The Jazz are not the Knicks and are a terrible road team. I expect the Kings to win straight up. No matter how bad the Kings play we must stick to the plan of fading whoever won game 1. Stay disciplined.
SAC+2 3 units
My pick for this game was whoever lost the first game the first game of the home and home. Its very rare for any team to sweep a home and home back to back. The last time this happened was with the Knicks and Sixers. The Jazz are not the Knicks and are a terrible road team. I expect the Kings to win straight up. No matter how bad the Kings play we must stick to the plan of fading whoever won game 1. Stay disciplined.
SAC+2 3 units
Friday, November 23, 2012
11/23 Free Pick NBA
Record 30-15-1
SAC@UTA-9
This is one of those rare back-to-back home and home games. I love betting on games like these. Utah is a different team at home. Its lowest margin of victory at home this season is 9 against the Lakers in a game which felt like they were up by twenty. Its tough to play in Utah since the refs give the Jazz favorable calls. The Kings are a bad road team. Their last win against the Lakers was a fluke. They always beat the Lakers in Sacramento every year for some reason and they caught an old Lakers team on a second night of a back-to-back. The Jazz and the Grizzlies are the only two teams who did not play before Thanksgiving day and have been resting at home for two days. I would also take a prop bet on Cousins getting a technical foul in the game. Even if the Jazz lose we can just recoup our losses in tomorrows game at Sacramento.
UTA-9 2 Units
SAC@UTA-9
This is one of those rare back-to-back home and home games. I love betting on games like these. Utah is a different team at home. Its lowest margin of victory at home this season is 9 against the Lakers in a game which felt like they were up by twenty. Its tough to play in Utah since the refs give the Jazz favorable calls. The Kings are a bad road team. Their last win against the Lakers was a fluke. They always beat the Lakers in Sacramento every year for some reason and they caught an old Lakers team on a second night of a back-to-back. The Jazz and the Grizzlies are the only two teams who did not play before Thanksgiving day and have been resting at home for two days. I would also take a prop bet on Cousins getting a technical foul in the game. Even if the Jazz lose we can just recoup our losses in tomorrows game at Sacramento.
UTA-9 2 Units
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
11/21 NBA Free Pick
TOR@CHA-2.5
The Craptors are 8-1 in their last nine back to backs. Lowry is back and Calderon is still playing well. The Raps almost covered the line against Philly and Charlotte just beat Mil straight up as 4 point dogs.
TOR +2.5
The Craptors are 8-1 in their last nine back to backs. Lowry is back and Calderon is still playing well. The Raps almost covered the line against Philly and Charlotte just beat Mil straight up as 4 point dogs.
TOR +2.5
Sunday, November 18, 2012
11/18 NBA Free Pick
'12-'13 Season Record 29-15-1
IND@NYK-6.5
The Knicks keep on winning in the Garden and have covered ever since Woodson took over if you ignore the Miami series. Indiana has been terrible offensively but seems to have found a nice rotation in its last win over Dallas with more Sam Young and Lance Stephenson. Indiana's defense is the only thing keeping them in games but New York is also great defensive team, if not a smarter defensive team so that will even itself out. The difference will be in the offense in which the Knicks are 1st in offensive efficiency while the Pacers are 29th in league in offensive efficiency. JR Smith, Felton, Kidd and Melo are all shooting way above their averages and are taking most of the Knicks shots. They will eventually cool down but right now they are on fire and even if they do cool off most of their shots have been within the offense. Let's keep on riding the Knicks' hot streak all the way to the bank.
NYK -6.5 1 unit
IND@NYK-6.5
The Knicks keep on winning in the Garden and have covered ever since Woodson took over if you ignore the Miami series. Indiana has been terrible offensively but seems to have found a nice rotation in its last win over Dallas with more Sam Young and Lance Stephenson. Indiana's defense is the only thing keeping them in games but New York is also great defensive team, if not a smarter defensive team so that will even itself out. The difference will be in the offense in which the Knicks are 1st in offensive efficiency while the Pacers are 29th in league in offensive efficiency. JR Smith, Felton, Kidd and Melo are all shooting way above their averages and are taking most of the Knicks shots. They will eventually cool down but right now they are on fire and even if they do cool off most of their shots have been within the offense. Let's keep on riding the Knicks' hot streak all the way to the bank.
NYK -6.5 1 unit
11/17 NBA Free Pick
'12-'13 season record: 29-14-1
UTA@WAS+3
Utah is a terrible road team and the Washington Professional Basketball team is desperate for a win so I know they'll play hard. They're catching Utah on a back to back and where else will they get their victory but in the nations capital.
WAS +3 1 unit
UTA@WAS+3
Utah is a terrible road team and the Washington Professional Basketball team is desperate for a win so I know they'll play hard. They're catching Utah on a back to back and where else will they get their victory but in the nations capital.
WAS +3 1 unit
Saturday, November 17, 2012
11/17 Free Pick NBA
Current Season '12-'13 record: 27-14-1
NYK@MEM-5.5
Stayed away from the NYK@SAS game to see if NYK was for real and apparently they are for real. San Antonio missed 8 shots in the last few minutes which was very un-San Antonio-like. The old veterans hit big threes (SHeed and Kidd) and Melo had a bad game since the Spurs were able to matchup with him defensively. The Memphis Grizzlies will have quicker and bigger defenders that can matchup with Melo at the 4 in Rudy Gay who went toe-to-toe with Durant and LeBron in his last two games and more than held his own in the two wins. If there were any better scenario to fade the Knicks it would be this game. In a back to back I doubt the vets will be able to be effective in the Grindhouse. The great thing about this pick is even if the Knicks cover we can just bet against them the next game since they are due for a loss. It's time to start fading the Knicks.
Memphis -5.5 3 units
ORL@DET Over 183 1 unit
NYK@MEM-5.5
Stayed away from the NYK@SAS game to see if NYK was for real and apparently they are for real. San Antonio missed 8 shots in the last few minutes which was very un-San Antonio-like. The old veterans hit big threes (SHeed and Kidd) and Melo had a bad game since the Spurs were able to matchup with him defensively. The Memphis Grizzlies will have quicker and bigger defenders that can matchup with Melo at the 4 in Rudy Gay who went toe-to-toe with Durant and LeBron in his last two games and more than held his own in the two wins. If there were any better scenario to fade the Knicks it would be this game. In a back to back I doubt the vets will be able to be effective in the Grindhouse. The great thing about this pick is even if the Knicks cover we can just bet against them the next game since they are due for a loss. It's time to start fading the Knicks.
Memphis -5.5 3 units
ORL@DET Over 183 1 unit
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