Thursday, December 13, 2012

12/13 NBA Free Pick

Record 44-21-1

CHA@ATL-10




Went 8-2 yesterday so normally I would rest on this day since my streak will likely come to an end.

1. All bettors should have a rest day after a hot streak. Since your luck will eventually run out.

2. If you have multiple bookies they might have different odds such as DEN@MIN-2.5 and DEN3.5@MIN. You can always bet on both MIN-2.5 and DEN+3.5 for example at 5k each. You only lose 1000 if you lose but gain 9000 if you win. Which is what happened with my bet awhile ago. These lines are made based on calculations. They are predictions of the outcome of the game by themselves. There is a reason why the books think the game will be decided by 3. So it makes sense to catch the middle. since the reward is so much higher than the risk.

Atlanta is a terrible home team ATS wise. They can't cover the big lines given to them. It makes sense to pick Charlotte after an impressive showing against the Clips. The first game back home after a trip is always the toughest.

ATL-10

No comments:

Post a Comment